Geopolitical Risk Tracker >> Americas Fridays




Game Theory and Trump's Climate Negotiations America’s pursuit of short-term benefits would come at the risk of longer-term damage. -BloombergView


The Age of Unilateral Rule Trump administration has been exhaustingly eventful, but almost none of the events have involved Congress. -Politico

America's Transatlantic Relationship Is Overrated Pollsters have noted the dramatic disconnect between the public and the elites for some time, and nowhere is this gap larger than on the question of whether our wealthy allies should do more to defend themselves and their interests. -The National Interest

Trump’s Foreign Policy Reversals -Project Syndicate

Trump administration approves tougher visa vetting, including social media checks -Reuters

Congress Should Hire More People Congress today is falling far short of the role the Founders expected it to play. Instead of serving as the center of political life in the United States, Capitol Hill is today an inert forum for gridlock and grandstanding. And instead of acting as the first mover in policymaking, it seems content to respond to initiatives by the increasingly hyperactive executive and judicial branches. -The American Interest

Trump to keep U.S. Embassy in Tel Aviv, for now President Trump will not relocate the U.S. Embassy in Israel from secular Tel Aviv to the capital, Jerusalem, at least for now, the White House announced Thursday, reversing a campaign promise dear to some of his most conservative supporters. -The Washington Post

Diplomats in limbo at a State Department where most leadership is temporary -The Washington Post

A Tribute to Zbigniew Brzezinski -The American Interest


Mexico's Homicide Spike Is Also a U.S. Problem -Bloomberg

Cuba warns of human trafficking risk due to frosty U.S. ties Cuba and the United States have dramatically reduced the rate of human trafficking since reaching a landmark accord in January but risk losing those gains if the two neighbors fail to resume high-level talks, Cuban Interior Ministry officials said in an exclusive interview. -Reuters




Tech leaders defy Trump on climate deal -BBC

Activists Get Exxon To Address Impact Of Climate Change On Its Business, But It Won't Play Out As They Expect -Forbes

How Twitter Is Being Gamed to Feed Misinformation After last year’s election, Facebook came in for a drubbing for its role in propagating misinformation — or “fake news,” as we called it back then, before the term became a catchall designation for any news you don’t like. The criticism was well placed: Facebook is the world’s most popular social network, and millions of people look to it daily for news. -NYT

Feds levy $155M fine against software vendor for faulty patient records -Politico

HMMM >> Just One Driverless Car Could Ease Traffic Jams New data suggests that the days of using variable speed limits to manage traffic could be over -Forbes

Canada suspends talks with Boeing over jet purchase -Reuters

"We have a capability gap, we outlined a process, our partner in that process is not acting like a valued partner right now so we've suspended discussions with that partner,"


US growth rate revised up to 1.2% -BBC

How Trump's Chaotic Presidency Threatens the Economy Here are the five biggest scenarios I'm aware of, and how the chances of each have changed since Trump won the presidency in November. -BloombergView 

1.Trade War (unchanged)

2. Government default/shutdown (increased chance)

3. The president causes economic damage by saying something crazy (decreased)

4. Executive branch mishandling a crisis (increased)

5. The president mishandling a crisis (unknown, but probably increased)

Brazil exits recession with fastest growth rate since 2013 Brazil's gross domestic product (GDP) grew 1.0 percent in the first quarter from the preceding one, matching economists' forecasts for the biggest rise since the second quarter of 2013. -Reuters